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Milaneschi Y, Corsi AM, Penninx BW, Bandinelli S, Guralnik JM, Ferrucci L.
Tuscany Health Regional Agency, Florence, Italy; Geriatric Unit, ASF, Florence, Italy; Department of Psychiatry and EMGO Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Laboratory of Epidemiology Demography and Biometry, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda; Longitudinal Studies Section, Clinical Research Branch, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, Maryland
Background: We test the hypothesis that in older persons higher plasma levels of inflammatory markers predict the development of depressive symptoms during a 6-year follow-up.
Method: This study is part of the InCHIANTI (Invecchiare in Chianti, aging in the Chianti area) study, a prospective population-based study of older persons. The sample consisted of 991 participants, ages 65 years and older. Serum levels of C-reactive protein, interleukin (IL)-1ß, IL-1 receptor antagonist (ra), tumor necrosis factor-a, IL-6, IL-6 receptor, and IL-18 were measured. Depressive symptoms were assessed at baseline and at the 3- and 6-year follow-ups with the Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale (CES-D). Depressed mood was defined as CES-D > 20. Potential confounders were baseline variables related to sociodemographic, somatic health, and functional status.
Results: At baseline, IL-1ra levels were significantly higher (p = .004) in depressed compared with nondepressed participants. After adjustment for confounders, among subjects free of depression at baseline, those in the third and fourth IL-1ra quartiles compared with those in the lowest quartile had, respectively, a 2.32-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.21-4.42, p = .01) and 2.78-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.47-5.26, p = .002) higher risk of developing depressed mood during a 6-year follow-up.
Conclusions: In old age, persons with high plasma levels of IL1-ra had a higher risk of developing depressive symptoms over time. These findings suggest a potential causal role for inflammation in the development of depressive symptoms in older persons.
tags: cytokines immune system inflammation
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Epidemiological studies describing population characteristics which collect data at one point in time and then consider relationships between observed characteristics.. Because they don't look at time trends they cannot establish causes.
